Investing for the Pivot
All told, we continue to question the timing of the Fed’s pivot and urge investors to remain cautious. However, we do see the move causing notable shifts in equity markets, at least in the short term.
Gains could fade for mega-cap stocks in industries such as technology. With that in mind, investors should consider adding exposure to U.S. stocks outside of the market’s biggest names, known as the “Magnificent 7,” by either buying the equal-weighted S&P 500 Index or actively picking individual securities. In doing so, look for cyclical stocks, which tend to perform better in a strong economy, and value-style stocks, which seem to be priced lower than they should be relative to their fundamentals.
In terms of sectors, financials, industrials, utilities, consumer staples, healthcare and defense-industry stocks are among our favored investments, especially until the Fed’s first interest-rate cut. In addition, continued U.S. dollar weakness may help support a resurgence in non-U.S. stocks, especially emerging markets.
This article is based on Lisa Shalett’s Global Investment Committee Weekly report from December 18, 2023, “The Great Rotation … But.” Ask your Morgan Stanley Financial Advisor for a copy. Listen to the audiocast based on this report.